Impact of Climate Variability on Power Systems with Lots of Renewables

Collaborators: Philippe Drobinski, Ayat-Allah Bouramdane, Qiqi Tao, Joan Delort-Illa, Samouro Dansokho, Maryam Kadhodaie, Philippe Quirion, Jordi Badosa, Anna Creti, Peter Tankov, Aina Maimo-Far, Victor Homar, Marc Stéfanon, Claudia D'Ambrosio, Dimitry Thomopulos, Silvia Concettini

Alexis Tantet

RTE's Energetic Futurs 2050 Coming Soon

Challenge: Variable & Uncertain

Today

Generation and flexibility mix in the second week of January. Fig 5.5 in IEA, RTE (2021).

Challenge: Variable & Uncertain

2035

Generation and flexibility mix in the second week of January. Fig 5.5 in IEA, RTE (2021).

Challenge: Variable & Uncertain

2050

Generation and flexibility mix in the second week of January. Fig 5.5 in IEA, RTE (2021).

Challenge: Location specific

Wind power density from globalwindatlas.info.

Challenge: Low marginal cost of generation

Merit-order dispatch.Bahar & Sauvage (2013).

Effects of VRE and Meteo on Power System

  • Utilisation effect (less conventional)

  • Wholesale-price effect (less revenue)

  • Flexibility effects (more required)

  • ...

Minimize Total System Cost, Not Only VRE

EOLES_Elec: an example of total system cost minimization model.Shirizadeh & Quirion (2021).

Minimal Model to Focus on Sensitivity to Climate

Approximate dispatchable mix by an aggregate with single cost function

e4clim: MinimalTSC minimization model.Tantet & Drobinski (2021).

Decomposition of the Optimal Cost in e4clim

Fig. 9 in Tantet & Drobinski (2021).

Thank you for your attention !